Alex FergnaniinPredictBackcasting the Futures: Origin, Practice, and PitfallsBackcasting has been proven to be one of the most well known, easily applicable, widely used, and alas, widely misused normative futures…·8 min read·Aug 21, 2023--1--1
Alex FergnaniinPredictA Graphical Representation of the Relation Between Foresight & StrategyNowadays it is increasingly common to hear about the use of “strategic foresight” in for-profit organizations. This term, somewhat a…·4 min read·May 9, 2023--1--1
Alex FergnaniinPredictHow to Spot a Charlatan FuturistThis article will tackle one of the most sensitive questions, yet arguably the most important question, about the profession of the…·10 min read·Apr 24, 2023--2--2
Alex FergnaniinPredictThe Real Strength and The Overstated Power of the Futures/Implications WheelThe futures wheel is a subjective, qualitative foresight method to anticipate multiple consequences of one central source of change. This…·7 min read·Jul 18, 2022--3--3
Alex FergnaniinPredictPolak Game, Sarkar Game, and 2x2 Scenario Exploration System: Top Three Futures Games Explained…Following the “experiential turn” in futures studies [1], many futures & foresight researchers and practitioners are using serious games in…·20 min read·Apr 14, 2022--1--1
Alex FergnaniinPredictAn Explanation and Expansion of Jordan Peterson’s Thought and its Implications for our Future(s)Jordan Peterson’s thought has profound implications for the way we envision, evaluate, and move into the future(s) ahead of us. Yet…·33 min read·Sep 24, 2021--7--7
Alex FergnaniinPredictA Detailed Account on How to Frame a Futures & Foresight ProjectFraming a futures and foresight project before the project takes off involves defining as clearly as possible what the project is going to…·8 min read·Aug 28, 2021----
Alex FergnaniinPredictClarify or Reimagine the Strategic Identity of your Organization with Identity Wind TunnelingIn December 2018, I was approached by a leading tertiary educational institution in Singapore for my potential involvement in what seemed…·7 min read·Jul 13, 2021----
Alex FergnaniinPredictNormative or Explorative Scenarios? Use the “Control Compass” to Find OutIf you are familiar with scenario planning — here intended in the inclusive sense, i.e. intuitive logics scenarios as well as alternative…·9 min read·May 22, 2021--1--1